Changjiang Securities·2025-11-21 05:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Insights - As of the end of October, the company's PE ratio stands at 34.77x, which is in the 39th percentile historically since 2016, indicating a certain level of value for allocation. It is expected that with the continuous enhancement of the mutual access policy in the Hong Kong capital market, liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market will continue to rise, leading to an increase in overall market activity and valuation. The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of 30.4 billion, 33.4 billion, and 35.8 billion HKD for 2025-2027, with net profits attributable to shareholders of 17.6 billion, 18.8 billion, and 20.5 billion HKD, corresponding to PE valuations of 30.4, 28.4, and 26.1 times respectively [2][52]. Market Environment - The Hong Kong stock market has shown a continued upward trend, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 29.1% and 32.2% respectively compared to the end of 2024. The average daily trading (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in October was 274.9 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.8% but a month-on-month decrease of 13.2% [8][11][16]. - The overall market capitalization of Hong Kong stocks reached 48.14 trillion HKD by the end of October, with a year-on-year increase of 36.8% [9][11]. Business Segments - In the cash market, the average daily trading volume for northbound trading was 300.8 billion HKD, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.1% but a month-on-month decrease of 11.5%. Southbound trading reached 144.4 billion HKD, with a year-on-year increase of 42.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.5% [8][16]. - In the derivatives market, the average daily volume for futures was 694,000 contracts, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 26.7% [20]. - The LME daily trading volume increased to 792,000 contracts in October, with a year-on-year increase of 23.6% [26]. IPO Market - The IPO scale in the Hong Kong stock market maintained high growth, with 80 new companies listed from January to October 2025, raising a total of 2,162 billion HKD, which is a year-on-year increase of 208%. In October alone, 12 new stocks were listed, raising a total of 285 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 97% [31][30].