IMIC(SZ:000516) Huachuang Securities·2025-11-21 06:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 5.5 yuan, compared to the current price of 4.79 yuan [3][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.995 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 16.94%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 294 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase in losses of 38.45% [2][7]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to two main factors: adjustments in medical insurance payment policies leading to a decrease in inpatient service volume and the ongoing reform of the DRG payment method, which has reduced the average cost per inpatient [7]. - Despite the short-term pressure on revenue, the company has seen a steady increase in outpatient and emergency services, with a total of 1.9751 million visits, a year-on-year increase of 4.03% [7]. - The company is focusing on strategic growth areas, including high-barrier projects like the proton therapy center, consumer healthcare, and data assetization, which are expected to enhance long-term competitiveness [7]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 4.055 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.8% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to the parent company expected to be a loss of 343 million yuan [2][8]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected net profit growth rate of 74.5% in 2026 and 214.8% in 2027, suggesting a potential recovery in profitability [8]. - The company’s total assets are estimated to be 10.422 billion yuan in 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 164.2% [8].