ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(SZ:300308) Shanxi Securities·2025-11-21 07:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for price appreciation relative to the benchmark index [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a 44.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 25 billion yuan, and a 90.1% increase in net profit, totaling 7.13 billion yuan [2][3]. - The company is preparing for an H-share listing to enhance its international strategy and financing capabilities, which is expected to attract overseas investors and potentially lead to a revaluation of the company's worth [2][3]. - The gross margin and net margin have shown continuous improvement, reaching 42.8% and 32.6% respectively in Q3 2025, indicating a shift towards higher-end product offerings and increased scale advantages [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10.56 billion, 26.80 billion, and 34.44 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a strong upward trend in profitability [9][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise significantly, with projections of 9.51 yuan in 2025 and 30.99 yuan in 2027, indicating robust growth potential [11][13]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 35.9% in 2025 and 41.3% in 2027, showcasing strong profitability relative to shareholder equity [11][13]. Market Dynamics - There is a notable increase in capital expenditures from major cloud service providers, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 50% for the top five North American CSPs in Q3 2025, indicating a strong demand for the company’s 1.6T silicon photonics solutions [4][8]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated large-scale deployment of 1.6T solutions by key clients in the upcoming quarters, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [4][9]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates that the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 51.8 in 2025 to 15.9 in 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [9][11]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is also expected to decline from 18.8 in 2025 to 6.6 in 2027, further indicating potential for value appreciation [11][13].