东兴证券晨报-20251121

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in electricity consumption in October, with a total of 857.2 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.4% [2] - The Chinese smartphone market experienced a notable recovery in October, with overall sales increasing by 8% year-on-year, driven by strong performances from brands like Apple and Xiaomi [5] - The airline industry showed positive trends in October, with an increase in passenger load factors and capacity deployment, indicating a favorable supply-demand relationship [7][8] Electricity Consumption - In October, the total electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kWh, with the first industry consuming 12 billion kWh (up 13.2%), the second industry 568.8 billion kWh (up 6.2%), and the third industry 160.9 billion kWh (up 17.1%) [2] - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to October was 8,624.6 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [2] Smartphone Market - The smartphone market in China saw a significant uptick in October, with Apple leading the market with a 37% year-on-year increase in sales, capturing a 25% market share [5] - Xiaomi ranked second for the first time in over a decade, with a 7% increase in sales, attributed to its diverse product offerings [5] - OPPO also contributed to market growth with a 19% increase in sales, while other brands like vivo and Honor experienced minor fluctuations [5] Airline Industry - Domestic airline capacity increased by approximately 3.6% year-on-year in October, with a corresponding rise in passenger load factors by about 1.8 percentage points [8] - International airline capacity saw a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with a slight rise in load factors, indicating a healthy demand despite some overcapacity risks [9] - The report notes that the recent travel advisories may impact demand for certain international routes, particularly to Japan [10][11] Financial Sector - The report indicates a continued decline in social financing growth, with a year-on-year increase of 8.5% as of October, reflecting a slowdown in credit demand [14][15] - The total new RMB loans in October amounted to 220 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of 280 billion, highlighting a weak credit environment [16] - The M1 growth rate decreased to 6.2%, while M2 grew by 8.2%, indicating a trend towards "de-banking" in the financial sector [18]