金融行业双周报(2025、11、07-2025、11、20):银行:超配(维持)-20251121
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-21 10:43

Investment Ratings - Banking: Overweight (Maintain) [1] - Securities: Market Weight (Maintain) [1] - Insurance: Overweight (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of a trillion-yuan brokerage firm through mergers, accelerating supply-side reforms in the securities industry [3] - The total assets of the new company formed by the merger of CICC, Dongxing Securities, and Xinda Securities are expected to reach 1009.583 billion yuan, making it the fourth largest securities company in A-shares [3] - The report indicates that the insurance sector is seeing a steady increase in stock investments, with a total balance of 3.62 trillion yuan, reflecting a shift towards equity investments to mitigate potential risks [4][46] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of November 20, 2025, the banking, securities, and insurance indices have changed by +1.69%, -3.36%, and +1.76% respectively, while the CSI 300 index decreased by -2.74% [12] - Among the sub-sectors, China Bank (+10.25%), Dongxing Securities (+5.38%), and China Life Insurance (+2.32%) performed the best [12] Valuation Situation - As of November 20, 2025, the PB ratio for the banking sector is 0.77, with state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks having PB ratios of 0.83, 0.62, 0.73, and 0.65 respectively [22] - The securities sector's PB ratio is 1.49, indicating potential for valuation recovery [25] Recent Market Indicators - The average daily trading volume in A-shares was 1819.419 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.14% week-on-week [35] - The average margin balance was 2493.753 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.05% [35] Industry News - The report notes that the financial regulatory authority has implemented measures to enhance the supervision of pension institutions, which may impact banking operations [39] - The report also highlights a significant increase in bond underwriting by securities firms, particularly in technology and rural revitalization bonds [39] Company Announcements - CICC announced plans to merge with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities, with the merger expected to enhance its market position significantly [45] - Nanjing Securities plans to raise up to 5 billion yuan through a private placement to strengthen its capital base and enhance competitiveness [42] Weekly Perspectives - The banking sector is expected to benefit from a shift in funds towards safer investments, particularly in high-dividend, low-valuation bank stocks [44] - The insurance sector is encouraged to increase equity investment ratios, with a focus on returning to core protection functions [46]