华夏中证生物科技主题ETF基金投资价值分析:政策、估值、出海三重共振
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-11-21 10:56
  • The China Securities Biotechnology Theme Index was launched on August 26, 2015, by China Securities Index Co., Ltd. The index selects listed company securities involved in gene diagnosis, biopharmaceuticals, blood products, and other human biotechnology as index samples to reflect the overall performance of biotechnology listed company securities[3][38] - The index sample space is the same as the China Securities All Index sample space, consisting of A-shares and depository receipts issued by red-chip companies that meet the following conditions: "(1) Non-ST, *ST securities; (2) Other securities: listed for more than one quarter, unless the average daily market value ranks in the top 30 since listing; (3) STAR Market and Beijing Stock Exchange securities: listed for more than one year and two years, respectively"[39] - The index sample selection method includes: (1) Ranking the securities in the sample space by average daily turnover over the past year and removing the bottom 20%; (2) Selecting biotechnology-related companies from the remaining securities as biotechnology theme candidates; (3) Ranking the candidates by average daily market value over the past year and selecting the top 50 securities as index samples[39] - The index's top ten constituent stocks are highly concentrated, focusing on the pharmaceutical industry. As of November 19, 2025, the top ten constituent stocks accounted for 55.26% of the total weight, forming a "CXO + innovative drugs + medical devices" golden triangle combination[40][41] - The index constituent stocks are evenly distributed across different market value ranges, with weights of 35.79% for stocks with a market value of over 100 billion, 44.24% for stocks with a market value between 200-1000 billion, and the rest distributed among other ranges[42][43] - The index constituent stocks are mainly concentrated in the biological medicine III, medical services, chemical preparations, and medical devices industries, with weights of 42.33%, 20.99%, 17.33%, and 11.97%, respectively[44][46] - The index constituent stocks have high exposure to concepts such as industry leaders, comprehensive private enterprises, main trading forces, dual circulation, fund heavy positions, and innovative drugs, with exposure rates of 70.56%, 64.78%, 64.58%, 62.60%, 62.48%, and 62.16%, respectively[47][48] - The index's current style is characterized by small market value, high liquidity, and high momentum. As of October 31, 2025, the index's market value style is significantly negatively exposed compared to the China Securities 800 Index, with higher liquidity and trading activity[48][51][52] - The index's PE valuation is near the historical average, and the PB valuation is near the historical -1 standard deviation, indicating a high safety margin and potential for upward valuation[53][54] - The index's profitability is outstanding, with expected revenue growth rates of 6.54%, 6.00%, and 13.76% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, and expected net profit growth rates of 52.09%, 18.58%, and 24.11% for the same years[55][56][57][58]