Yanjan(SZ:300658) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-11-21 12:50Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company for the first time [4] Core Views - The global upgrade of disposable hygiene products is transitioning from "internal competition" to "external competition," accelerating the overseas expansion of non-woven fabric manufacturing. The company is positioned to benefit from this trend, with a global supply chain already established [4][39] - The overseas market for absorbent hygiene products is projected to have a market space of approximately $7.16 billion, which is over three times the domestic market size [5][34] Summary by Sections Industry Logic - The upgrade of global absorbent hygiene products is driven by the transition from spunbond non-woven fabrics to hot air non-woven fabrics, benefiting upstream suppliers and indicating a reversal of current challenges [5][9] - Since 2021, cross-border brands have played a pivotal role in reshaping the overseas market landscape, prompting global giants to accelerate product upgrades [5][19] Company Logic - The company is a leading supplier of non-woven fabric for disposable hygiene products, with a strong position in the global supply chain and a focus on high-end products that align with current market demands [39][40] - The company has a competitive edge due to its advanced manufacturing processes and established relationships with major clients, which have been built over more than a decade [49] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue is expected to grow from 14.85 billion yuan in 2024 to 18 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23%. Net profit is projected to increase significantly from 0.27 billion yuan in 2024 to 0.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 95% year-on-year growth [4][5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.08 yuan in 2024 to 0.16 yuan in 2025, indicating strong profitability potential [4][5]