CHANGHAI(SZ:300196) Changjiang Securities·2025-11-21 13:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.359 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 257 million yuan, up 27% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 265 million yuan, marking a 46% increase [2][6]. - In the third quarter alone, the company achieved a revenue of 904 million yuan, which is a 33% year-on-year increase and a 31% quarter-on-quarter increase. The net profit for this quarter was 84 million yuan, reflecting a 4% year-on-year growth but an 8% decline quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Sales Performance - The company experienced sustained high growth in sales during the third quarter, with a revenue increase of 33% year-on-year and 31% quarter-on-quarter. This growth was primarily driven by the rapid release of new production capacity and strong demand in the wind power and thermoplastic sectors [13]. Profitability - Despite a decline in industry prices, the company's profitability remained relatively stable. The gross margin for the third quarter was approximately 22.3%, down 4.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. This decline was attributed to falling industry prices and increased short-term production costs due to a shift in production [13]. - The overall net profit margin for the third quarter was about 9.3%, with a decrease of 3.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The company's ability to maintain better profitability fluctuations compared to peers is partly due to its strong sales volume and a higher proportion of products with stable prices [13]. Market Conditions - Weak export demand has been a significant factor in the price fluctuations of fiberglass this year. The report indicates that from January to September, the sales volume of fiberglass yarn and chopped strands decreased by 4% and 12%, respectively [13]. - The report anticipates that fiberglass prices will stabilize in the second half of 2025, with potential upward momentum in 2026 due to limited new production capacity and expected recovery in overseas demand [13]. Future Outlook - The fiberglass business is currently at a cyclical low, but the company's product structure is improving, with high-modulus yarns starting to gain traction. There is also ongoing capacity expansion, which is expected to support future growth [13]. - The projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are estimated at 355 million yuan and 474 million yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 16 and 12 times [13].