Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the home appliance industry, particularly for leading brands that are expected to achieve stable growth due to their integrated advantages and strong pricing power [5]. Core Insights - In October, home appliance exports faced pressure, with a year-on-year decline in quantity and value of -9.2% and -13.3% respectively. However, emerging markets showed robust growth, particularly in Southeast Asia and Africa [12][14]. - The report highlights that air conditioning exports in Southeast Asia led the growth, with a year-on-year increase of 13% in October [17]. - The overall market sentiment is slightly pressured for white goods and black goods, while kitchen and bathroom appliances are stabilizing at the bottom, and vacuum cleaners maintain high prosperity [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Home Appliance Export Performance - October saw a decline in air conditioner exports by 29.3%, while washing machine exports increased by 7.7%. The total export figures for refrigerators and televisions also showed declines of 5.5% and 3.1% respectively [12]. - Southeast Asia and Africa led the growth in exports, with Southeast Asia's cold appliance export value reaching approximately 6.7 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year [14]. - North America, the Middle East, and Europe experienced significant declines in export values, with North America down 23% and Europe down 8% [15]. 2. Market and Sector Tracking - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell by 3.77%, while the home appliance index decreased by 2.30% during the week [23]. - Key raw material prices showed a slight decline, with copper and aluminum prices down by 1.05% and 1.16% respectively in the week of November 17-21 [25]. - The USD to RMB exchange rate was reported at 7.09, with a weekly increase of 0.21% [30]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends leading companies such as Hisense, Midea Group, Haier, and TCL Electronics for their potential in both domestic and international markets, especially as the U.S. enters a rate-cutting cycle which may boost demand for home appliances [5][44].
10月家电出口有所承压,新兴市场维持稳健增长