转债周度跟踪：转债抗跌性突出，百元估值逼近-20251123

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the context where the convertible bond market approached the high point at the end of August again, there was an obvious pullback this week, forming a "double - top" pattern since the end of August, with a significant pullback in micro - cap stocks. The convertible bond market's anti - decline ability was significantly stronger than at the end of August, and the valuation was relatively high. The 100 - yuan premium rate valuation was approaching 40%, exceeding the high point at the end of August. This might be related to two factors: the relatively weak price and valuation of high - price convertible bonds in this round of the repair market, and the "reverse operation" of funds [2][3]. - In the short term, the convertible bond valuation has reached the annual high, with weak valuation protection and a high dependence on the performance of the underlying stocks. Considering the limited downside space of the equity market and the under - allocation of convertible bond positions, there are still trading opportunities in the convertible bond market [2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly View and Outlook - The convertible bond market approached the high point at the end of August again and then pulled back, forming a "double - top" pattern. The anti - decline ability of convertible bonds was strong, and the valuation was high. The 100 - yuan premium rate valuation was close to 40%. The reasons were the weak performance of high - price convertible bonds and the "reverse operation" of funds. Short - term valuation protection was weak, but there were trading opportunities [2][3]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - The anti - decline ability of convertible bonds was strong, and the valuation increased significantly. The 100 - yuan premium rate valuation (39.6%) exceeded the high point on August 22 (37.6%). The current 100 - yuan premium rate was 39.6%, with a weekly increase of 3.5%, and the latest quantile was at the 97.6% percentile since 2017 [2][4]. - Although the underlying stocks declined significantly, convertible bonds showed strong anti - decline characteristics. The conversion premium rate in the parity range above 130 yuan increased significantly, while the valuation in the debt - biased area decreased slightly [2][8]. - The median price of convertible bonds was 131.39 yuan, a decrease of 2.61 yuan from last week, and the yield to maturity was - 6.41%, an increase of 0.63% from last week. The current quantile levels were at the 98.10 and 1.50 percentiles since 2017 respectively [14]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, Lizhong Convertible Bond, Chutian Convertible Bond, Guocheng Convertible Bond, Mingdian Convertible Bond 02, and Hongfa Convertible Bond announced redemptions, while Huicheng, Haoyuan, and Aofei Convertible Bonds announced non - redemptions, with a forced redemption rate of 63%. There were 16 convertible bonds that had issued forced redemption or maturity redemption announcements but had not been delisted, and the potential conversion or maturity balance of forced - redemption and maturity convertible bonds was 9.3 billion yuan. Currently, there were 40 convertible bonds in the redemption process, 9 were expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, and 14 were expected to issue redemption trigger announcements [2][17][19]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - No convertible bonds proposed downward revisions this week. Aidi and Jingneng Convertible Bonds announced downward - revision results, both revised to the bottom. As of now, 106 convertible bonds were in the non - downward - revision period, 20 could not be downward - revised due to net asset constraints, 2 had triggered the downward - revision condition but the stock price was still below the trigger price and no announcement had been made, and 34 were accumulating downward - revision days [2][22]. 3.3.3 Put - Option - This week, Honglu and Bairun Convertible Bonds issued conditional put - option announcements. As of now, 7 convertible bonds were accumulating put - option trigger days, 1 was also accumulating downward - revision days, and 6 were in the non - downward - revision period [2][25]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - This week, Maolai Convertible Bond was issued, and Maolai and Ruike Convertible Bonds had been issued but not yet listed. Zhuomei Convertible Bond was expected to be listed next week (November 24, 2025). As of now, there were 8 convertible bonds in the approval - registration progress, with a total issuance scale of 6.7 billion yuan, and 6 in the listing - committee approval progress, with a total issuance scale of 7.8 billion yuan [2][28].