锂电产业链持续景气,多环节价格上行
Huaxin Securities·2025-11-23 06:31

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the lithium battery industry, highlighting strong demand and the continuous growth of high-quality companies within the supply chain [3][4][77] - In October, China's new energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 21.1% and 20% [3][48] - The report indicates that the supply side is seeing a reduction in capital expenditure from some companies, leading to an improved supply-demand structure [4][77] Market Performance - The report notes that the new energy vehicle index, lithium battery index, and other related indices experienced declines, with the lithium battery index down by 10.99% this week [5][21] - Despite the overall market downturn, certain companies like 深中华A and 盛新锂能 showed significant gains, with increases of 32.2% and 12.2% respectively [5][25] Price Trends - Lithium carbonate prices increased to 92,400 CNY/ton, up 8.4% from the previous week, while lithium hydroxide rose to 81,300 CNY/ton, up 6.3% [5][33] - The report highlights that the prices of key materials such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium iron phosphate have also seen significant increases, indicating a recovery in the price levels across the supply chain [4][30] Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the ongoing challenges in the lithium iron phosphate sector, including price wars and overall industry losses, prompting regulatory measures to stabilize pricing [66] - It also mentions advancements in autonomous driving technology, with companies like 广汽 and 华为 making significant strides in L3 autonomous driving capabilities [67][68] Key Companies and Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies within the lithium battery supply chain, including 宁德时代 and 尚太科技, which are expected to deliver excess returns [4][77] - The investment strategy emphasizes the importance of companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in material prices and the growing demand for new energy vehicles [4][77]