10月快递业务量同比+8%,中东航线集中出货提振油运运价
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-11-23 08:00

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for the express delivery sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding as a preferred investment choice due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [2]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector experienced an 8% year-on-year growth in business volume in October, with a total of approximately 44.19 billion parcels collected, reflecting a 4.72% increase from the previous week and an 11.3% increase year-on-year [2]. - The logistics sector is encouraged to focus on smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended due to improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector shows a slight increase in flight operations, with an average of 14,777 flights per day, marking a 3.27% year-on-year growth [4]. - The shipping sector saw a rise in oil and dry bulk transportation indices, with the BDTI index increasing by 1.9% week-on-week and 58.2% year-on-year [5]. - The road and rail sector reported a decrease in truck traffic on highways, with a total of 57.83 million trucks passing through last week, reflecting a 2.57% increase week-on-week and a 5.30% increase year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Transportation Sector Market Review - The transportation index fell by 4.8% during the week of November 15-21, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which decreased by 3.8% [1][13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The export container shipping price index (CCFI) was 1,122.79 points, up 2.6% week-on-week but down 23.8% year-on-year [22]. - The oil transportation index (BDTI) reached 1,445.4 points, reflecting a 1.9% increase week-on-week and a 58.2% increase year-on-year [34]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - In October 2025, the civil aviation passenger volume reached 67.84 million, a year-on-year increase of 8% [54]. - The average daily flight operations increased by 3.27% year-on-year, with international flights showing an 11.81% increase [4]. 2.3 Rail and Road - The national railway passenger volume in October was 410 million, a 10.14% increase year-on-year [75]. - The national highway freight volume was 3.706 billion tons, showing a slight increase of 0.08% year-on-year [80]. 2.4 Express Delivery and Logistics - The express delivery business revenue in October reached 131.67 billion yuan, a 4.7% year-on-year increase [2].