Group 1 - The report suggests maintaining a cautious stance in the short term while waiting for market stabilization signals, as the A-share market has recently experienced downward adjustments influenced by overseas market fluctuations [4][7][12] - It is anticipated that institutional funds will gradually start positioning for 2026 after mid-December, coinciding with the Central Economic Work Conference, which typically provides guidance for the following year's economic direction [4][7][12] - The report expresses confidence in the medium to long-term market outlook, asserting that the current bull market in A-shares has not ended, with expectations for a new buying opportunity window around mid-December [4][8][12] Group 2 - Investment recommendations include focusing on high-dividend large-cap blue chips, new consumption sectors, "anti-involution" industries, and AI application directions [13][12] - Specific sectors to watch include banking, insurance, public utilities, transportation, health, cultural tourism, sports, beauty care, IP economy, pet economy, and cultural entertainment [13][12] - The report highlights the rapid growth in public budget expenditures, particularly in social security and employment, energy conservation, and scientific technology, indicating a shift towards supporting livelihoods, environmental protection, and technology [8][9] Group 3 - The report notes that the A-share market has shown a wide range of fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.90% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 5.13% in the last week [14][15] - The report indicates that the average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets decreased by 8.67% compared to the previous week, reflecting a decline in market activity [14][15] - The report also mentions that the market sentiment remains cautious, with large-cap stocks showing relative strength compared to smaller stocks during this period of adjustment [14][15]
财信证券宏观策略周报(11.24-11.28):短期保持谨慎,静待市场企稳-20251123
Caixin Securities·2025-11-23 12:36