KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-11-23 14:11Emission Standards and Market Opportunities - The upcoming National 7 (国七) emission standards are expected to be the strictest environmental regulations in history, aiming for a significant reduction in pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions[3] - The National 7 standards may be released in 2027 and implemented in 2029, with significant changes for light-duty vehicles and relatively minor changes for heavy-duty vehicles[3] - The value of the exhaust after-treatment system per vehicle is projected to increase by approximately 50% compared to the National 6 (国六) standards, with catalysts, packaging, and electronic control systems accounting for over 80% of this value[4] Market Size and Growth Projections - The overall market size for exhaust after-treatment systems is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan, driven by the new standards[4] - By 2029, the market for commercial vehicles is projected to reach 610.73 thousand units, while hybrid vehicle sales are expected to grow to 721.43 thousand units[22] - The estimated market scale gain from the implementation of the National 7 standards is projected to be 1.27 billion yuan by 2029[22] Beneficiary Companies - Aikelan (艾可蓝) is positioned to benefit from the National 7 standards due to its core technologies in exhaust after-treatment products and ongoing research and development efforts[5] - Zhongzi Technology (中自科技) specializes in exhaust purification catalysts for various internal combustion engines, making it another potential beneficiary of the new standards[5] Market Performance and Trends - This week, the A-share market experienced a general decline, with small-cap indices underperforming compared to large-cap indices[6] - The total trading volume in the A-share market was 6.64 billion shares, with a total transaction value of 932.52 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease in liquidity compared to the previous week[31]