光大证券晨会速递-20251124

Core Insights - The report suggests that the current market position may be the starting point of a long-term bull market, supported by gradual improvements in fundamentals and industry highlights [3][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of time over space in the current bull market, indicating that the duration of the bull market may be more significant than the magnitude of the increase [3][4] Industry Research Construction Materials - The investment strategy focuses on three main lines: 1) Real estate chain recovery, emphasizing resilient consumer building material leaders like Dongfang Yuhong and Beixin Building Materials, which are expected to have greater profit elasticity amid rising demand for stock updates 2) Overseas growth, targeting companies with established advantages and mature operations abroad, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement 3) Corporate transformation, highlighting construction companies actively restructuring and innovating during industry downturns, like Shanghai Port and Hongrun Construction [10] Machinery Manufacturing - The investment strategy revolves around three major themes: 1) Cycle recovery in engineering machinery, with internationalization, electrification, and intelligentization opening new growth spaces 2) Data center power generation equipment, driven by increased electricity demand 3) Nuclear fusion, entering a phase of capital expenditure expansion with high technical barriers [11] Company Research Aidi Precision (603638.SH) - Aidi Precision reported revenue of 2.37 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, and a net profit of 320 million yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the engineering machinery sector, with continued growth in demand for its hydraulic components and new products like industrial robots and RV reducers [12] NetEase-S (9999.HK) - NetEase's Q3 2025 game revenue fell short of expectations due to the deferral of income recognition - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 114.5 billion yuan for 2025, 123.6 billion yuan for 2026, and 132.2 billion yuan for 2027, with a focus on new game releases expected to contribute significantly in 2026 [13] Yidu Technology (2158.HK) - Yidu Technology has made progress in AI medical innovation, but revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 have been reduced by 19.4% and 24.9% respectively - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 0.08 billion yuan in FY28, maintaining a "buy" rating despite the adjustments [14] NVIDIA (NVDA.O) - NVIDIA's FY26 Q3 performance exceeded market expectations, with a projected GAAP net profit of $113.88 billion for FY2026 - The company has raised its FY2027-2028 net profit forecasts by 14.1% and 14.7%, driven by strong demand for AI computing [15] Lenovo Group (0992.HK) - Lenovo reported revenue of $20.452 billion for FY26 Q2, a 15% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit rising 25% - AI-related business revenue accounted for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year, despite downward adjustments in profit forecasts for FY26 to FY28 [16]