市场降息预期再度反转：环球市场动态2025年11月24日

Market Overview - U.S. markets faced pressure with the Dow Jones closing at 46,245.4, down 1.1%[6] - Asian markets were affected by U.S. stock declines, with the Hang Seng Index dropping 2.38%[10] - European markets also saw declines, with the Euro Stoxx 600 down 0.3%[6] Interest Rate Expectations - New York Fed President Williams indicated a 70% probability of a rate cut in December, suggesting a potential 25 basis point reduction[4] - Market sentiment shifted towards rate cuts following Williams' dovish comments, with expectations for further easing in the near term[30] Sector Performance - The technology sector in the U.S. showed resilience despite concerns over AI, with major tech stocks like Alphabet rising 3.53%[8] - In Asia, the technology sector faced significant declines, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 3.21%[10] Commodity and Currency Movements - International oil prices fell, with NY crude down 1.83% to $58.06 per barrel[26] - Gold prices increased by 0.48%, reaching $4,079.5 per ounce amid rising rate cut expectations[26] Economic Indicators - U.S. consumer confidence is nearing historical lows, as indicated by the Michigan University report[4] - The U.S. government is reportedly considering allowing NVIDIA to sell H200 chips to China, which could impact market dynamics[4]