每周投资策略-20251124

Group 1: Market Overview - Global equity markets experienced a decline, with the MSCI ACWI index down by 2.5% over the past week and 2.4% over the past month, while the MSCI Emerging Markets index fell by 3.7% weekly and 3.6% monthly [6][8]. - The Hang Seng Index dropped by 5.1% last week, reflecting a significant downturn in technology stocks, indicating a clear reduction in market risk appetite [7][8]. - The South Korean KOSPI index decreased by 3.9% last week, with expectations of increased foreign and domestic investment in Korean stocks in 2026 [48]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market Focus - The Hong Kong market is expected to see a recovery in earnings growth, with projections indicating that earnings growth will bottom out in 2025 and rebound thereafter, particularly in the technology sector [25][26]. - Key sectors to watch in the Hong Kong market for 2026 include technology, healthcare, and consumer sectors, with a focus on AI-related industries and innovative pharmaceuticals [27][28]. - Tencent Holdings and Alibaba are highlighted as key stocks, with Tencent expected to benefit from strong growth in gaming and advertising, while Alibaba is set to accelerate investments in AI infrastructure [31][32]. Group 3: South Korean Market Focus - South Korea's inflation rate rose unexpectedly to 2.4% in October, prompting expectations of interest rate cuts starting in January 2026 [40][41]. - The government is actively supporting policies aimed at improving corporate governance and shareholder returns, which is expected to catalyze a revaluation of the stock market [41][42]. - The consensus net profit growth for KOSPI has been revised upward from 22% to 34%, driven by strong performance in key export sectors such as semiconductors [46].