名创优品(09896):公司点评:国内同店加速改善,海外增长质量提升
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-11-24 06:34

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of 5.797 billion RMB, representing a 28% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted net profit of 767 million RMB, up 11.7% year-over-year [2]. - The domestic and overseas segments showed strong growth, with domestic revenue from Miniso at 2.909 billion RMB (+19.3%), overseas Miniso at 2.312 billion RMB (+27.7%), and TOPTOY at 575 million RMB (+111.4%) [3]. - The company is actively expanding its store network, reaching a total of 4,407 stores in China, with significant growth in first, second, and third-tier cities [3]. - The overseas segment has also seen a boost, with North America exceeding same-store growth expectations and a total of 3,424 overseas stores [3]. - TOPTOY's revenue growth is attributed to rapid store expansion and increased sales of proprietary IP products, with a total of 307 stores as of Q3 [4]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of 2.964 billion RMB, 3.419 billion RMB, and 4.208 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]. - The projected P/E ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15, 13, and 11 times, respectively [5]. - Revenue growth rates are expected to be 25.12%, 23.03%, and 21.77% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [10]. - The adjusted net profit growth rates are projected at 8.96%, 15.35%, and 23.07% for the same years [10].