Guoxin Securities·2025-11-24 08:01Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the home appliance industry [6][7][14]. Core Views - The home appliance industry is experiencing pressure on both domestic and export sales due to high base effects, with October retail sales down 15% and exports down 13% [2][5][19]. - The small appliance segment is performing slightly better compared to larger appliances, with a smaller decline in sales [3][20]. - Air conditioning sales saw a significant drop of 20% in October, with production pressures continuing into December [4][45]. - Despite the challenges, leading companies in the industry are expected to maintain resilience and profitability due to ongoing cost reduction and efficiency improvements [14][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, TCL Smart Home, Gree Electric, and Hisense Home Appliances for white goods; Hisense Visual for black goods; and Roborock, Bear Electric, and Ecovacs for small appliances [6][14][15]. 2. Market Performance - In October, the retail sales of home appliances and audio-visual equipment fell by 14.6% year-on-year, while the overall retail sales in China grew by 2.9% [3][20]. - The report notes a relative performance of +1.47% for the home appliance sector compared to the broader market [5][60]. 3. Sales and Production Data - October saw a 20.1% year-on-year decline in total air conditioning sales, with domestic sales down 21.3% and exports down 19% [4][45]. - The report highlights that the export value of home appliances decreased by 13.3% in October, with washing machines and vacuum cleaners showing stable performance [5][47]. 4. Price Tracking - The report tracks raw material prices, noting a decrease in LME copper and aluminum prices by 1.4% and 2.2% respectively [60][62]. - The cold-rolled steel price increased by 1.9% week-on-week [62]. 5. Company Announcements and Industry Dynamics - The report includes updates on company management changes and highlights industry trends, such as the growth of the sweeping robot market led by Ecovacs [78][82].