Zhongyuan Securities·2025-11-24 08:15Core Insights - The report maintains a "stronger than market" investment rating for the communication industry, highlighting its growth potential and favorable valuation levels [1][5][12] - The communication industry index has shown significant performance, ranking second among 30 major industry indices with a 60.87% increase as of November 20, 2025 [12][14] - The report emphasizes the optimistic outlook for AI-related developments, particularly in AI computing and cloud services, which are expected to drive industry growth [4][5][45] Market Review and Industry Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the communication industry achieved a total revenue of CNY 19,753.67 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.30%, while net profit reached CNY 1,886.40 billion, up 6.95% [18] - The overall gross margin for the communication industry was 28.45%, with a net margin of 10.19% for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating stable profitability [19] - The telecommunications operators segment reported a revenue of CNY 14,819.21 billion, growing by 0.57%, and a net profit of CNY 1,548.98 billion, increasing by 4.30% [35] Segment Performance - The optical communication segment (including optical modules, devices, and chips) saw a revenue of CNY 795.38 billion, a year-on-year increase of 56.14%, with net profit soaring by 116.86% [41] - The telecommunications equipment segment recorded a revenue of CNY 1,390.0 billion, growing by 11.2%, while the consumer electronics components segment also grew by 11.1% [21] - The cable segment achieved a revenue of CNY 464.54 billion, reflecting a growth of 6.99%, driven by increasing demand across multiple applications [46] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the optical module/device/chip sector, such as NewEase, Huagong Technology, and Guangxun Technology, due to their strong growth prospects [5][41] - For AI mobile phones, companies like Xunwei Communication and ZTE are highlighted as key players to watch [5][41] - The telecommunications operators, including China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, are recommended for their stable operations and high dividend yields [5][41]