Guoxin Securities·2025-11-24 11:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7][5][48] Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 20.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 102%. The sales volume reached 116,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 149.3% [2][11] - The company is focusing on developing a new paradigm for future mobility through physical AI, with significant advancements in its second-generation VLA system and plans for Robotaxi and humanoid robots [4][30][41] - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 88.5 billion, 128 billion, and 147.2 billion RMB respectively, while projecting net profits of -1.6 billion, 2.7 billion, and 4.7 billion RMB for the same years [5][48] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 20.1%, an increase of 4.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -1.9%, improving by 16 percentage points year-on-year [3][14] - The automotive sales revenue for Q3 2025 was 18.05 billion RMB, up 105.3% year-on-year, while service and other income reached 2.33 billion RMB, up 78.1% year-on-year [2][11] - The company’s R&D expense ratio was 11.9%, down 4.3 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved cost efficiency [3][14] Sales and Delivery Guidance - The company delivered 42,000 vehicles in October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 76%, and expects to deliver between 125,000 and 132,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 36.6% to 44.3% [4][20] - The sales volume for Q3 2025 was 116,000 units, with a breakdown of sales by model indicating strong performance across various models [21][20] Technological Advancements - The second-generation VLA system integrates vision and language processing, significantly enhancing the efficiency and responsiveness of the company's autonomous driving capabilities [30][34] - The company plans to launch three Robotaxi models in 2026, leveraging a pure vision approach without reliance on lidar or high-definition maps [36][40] - The new humanoid robot, IRON, is designed for various commercial applications and features advanced AI capabilities, including a unique energy system for enhanced safety and performance [41][44]