大类资产运行周报（20251117-20251121）：AI泡沫担忧升温权益资产价格回落-20251124

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - From November 17th to November 21st, the US September non - farm data showed an unexpected increase in new employment but a higher unemployment rate. The US dollar index rose weekly, and global and domestic stocks, bonds, and commodities all declined to varying degrees. In general, in terms of US - dollar valuation, bonds > commodities > stocks. Investors' concerns about the Japanese market and AI have increased, and the volatility of major asset prices may increase. Attention should be paid to the release of US inflation data [3][6][19]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Global Major Asset Overall Performance: Stocks, Bonds, and Commodities All Declined - Global Stock Market Overview: Due to the uncertainty of US dollar interest rate cuts and the increasing concerns about AI, global major stock markets generally declined. The Asia - Pacific region had the largest decline, and emerging markets performed worse than developed markets. The VIX index rose significantly weekly [8]. - Global Bond Market Overview: The September non - farm data failed to eliminate the differences among Fed officials, increasing the uncertainty of US dollar interest rate cuts. The yields of medium - and long - term US bonds declined, and the yield of the 10 - year US bond fell by 8BP to 4.06% weekly. The bond market declined weekly. Globally, credit bonds > high - yield bonds > national bonds [15]. - Global Foreign Exchange Market Overview: The game between the large - scale fiscal stimulus policy and the normalization of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy caused market concerns. The Japanese yen depreciated rapidly against the US dollar, and the US dollar index rose weekly. Most major non - US currencies declined against the US dollar, and the RMB exchange rate fluctuated within a narrow range. The US dollar index rose 0.87% weekly [16]. - Global Commodity Market Overview: The US proposed a "28 - point" new plan to end the Russia - Ukraine conflict, and the possible framework agreement between Russia and Ukraine led to a significant weekly decline in international oil prices. Precious metal prices continued to consolidate at high levels. The prices of major agricultural products rose, and non - ferrous metal prices generally declined [18]. 3.2 Domestic Major Asset Performance: Stocks and Commodities Declined, and the Bond Market Fluctuated - Domestic Stock Market Overview: Affected by the overseas market, major broad - based A - share indexes generally declined. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased compared to the previous week. In terms of style, large - cap blue - chip stocks were relatively resilient. In terms of sectors, power equipment and new energy, basic chemicals, etc. saw large declines. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 3.9% weekly [20]. - Domestic Bond Market Overview: From November 17th to November 21st, the central bank's net investment in the open market was 43.4 billion yuan. The capital market was relatively tight. The bond market fluctuated weekly. Overall, credit bonds > corporate bonds > national bonds [23]. - Domestic Commodity Market Overview: The domestic commodity market declined weekly. Among the major commodity sectors, precious metals had the largest decline [24]. 3.3 Major Asset Price Outlook: Pay Attention to the Release of US Inflation Data - Recently, investors' concerns about the Japanese market and AI have increased, and the volatility of major asset prices may increase. Attention should be paid to the release of US inflation data [3][26].