零跑汽车(09863):公司连续2个季度盈利,2026年销量有望快速增长,建议“买进”

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 43.7 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 134%, and recorded a net profit of 183 million RMB, marking a turnaround from losses [6]. - The company aims to sell 1 million vehicles in 2026, which would represent a growth of 50-60% compared to 2025 [6]. - The company has been included in the Hang Seng Tech Index, effective December 8, which is expected to positively impact its stock price [6]. Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current H-share price of 50.00 HKD as of November 24, 2025, and a target price of 65 HKD [2][3]. - The company has a market capitalization of 34.76 billion RMB and a total share count of approximately 1.42 billion [3]. - Major shareholder is Chen Ailing, holding 27.07% of the shares [3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a significant increase in vehicle deliveries, with 174,000 units delivered in Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 102% [6]. - The gross margin improved to 14.5% in Q3, up 6.4 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to economies of scale and cost reduction measures [6]. - The company expects net profits of 688 million RMB, 3.8 billion RMB, and 8.3 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8]. Future Projections - The company plans to expand its product lineup in 2026, introducing new models in the luxury and compact segments, targeting price ranges of 10-30 million RMB [6]. - The flagship SUV model, D19, is set to launch in the first half of 2026, with a price range of 250,000 to 300,000 RMB [6]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in sales volume, with a target of over 600,000 vehicles for 2025, having already achieved 500,000 units by mid-November [6].