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汽车行业投资策略:乘用车市场销量持续增长,关注激光雷达和
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-25 09:21

Group 1: Industry Performance and Market Trends - The automotive industry in China has shown a continuous growth trend in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 30,088.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.13% [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1,222.52 billion yuan, growing by 7.46% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1,026.63 billion yuan, up by 12.97% [12] - The strong performance is driven by policy support, the penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs), and structural consumption upgrades due to intelligent and new product cycles [12][23] Group 2: Passenger Vehicle Market Growth - The passenger vehicle market has seen sustained growth, with wholesale sales of narrow-sense passenger vehicles reaching 2.932 million units in the first ten months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.16% [31] - NEV sales exceeded 11 million units, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 32.75% [31] - The penetration rate of NEVs in retail sales has consistently surpassed 50% from March to October 2025, indicating strong market demand [23][31] Group 3: Laser Radar Demand and Technology - The cost of laser radar has significantly decreased, with prices dropping from tens of thousands to between 2,000 and 3,000 yuan, facilitating increased demand [43] - The penetration of Navigation On Autopilot (NOA) technology is rising, which is expected to drive the demand for laser radar and other key components [56] - The delivery volume of laser radar has surged, with companies like Hesai Technology reporting a 228.9% year-on-year increase in deliveries [50] Group 4: Robotaxi Market Expansion - The Robotaxi market is expanding rapidly, with companies like Pony.ai and WeRide seeing significant revenue and order growth [38] - The cost of core components for Robotaxi is decreasing, enhancing the feasibility of commercial operations [38] - The potential market for Robotaxi services is vast, indicating a transformative shift in transportation methods [38][43] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains an overweight rating for the automotive sector, highlighting strong demand driven by policies and technological advancements [4] - Recommended companies include leading domestic luxury SUV manufacturers and key players in the laser radar and Robotaxi supply chains, such as Seres and Great Wall Motors [4][5]