大金重工(002487):公司新签大额海外订单,自持风电场加速推进,建议“买进”

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to less than 35% from the current price [6][9]. Core Insights - The company has signed a significant overseas contract worth approximately RMB 1.339 billion, which represents about 35.4% of its projected revenue for 2024. This contract is for a transition phase of an offshore wind farm project with a European energy company [6]. - The company plans to invest in three onshore wind projects with a total capacity of 950 MW, with an estimated total investment of no more than RMB 4.38 billion [6]. - The company is expected to see a 20% growth in overseas delivery volume in 2026, supported by accelerating offshore wind construction in Europe and a strong order backlog exceeding RMB 10 billion [6]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.194 billion, RMB 1.593 billion, and RMB 2.155 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 152%, 33%, and 35% [6][8]. Company Overview - The company operates in the machinery and equipment industry, with a current A-share price of RMB 49.20 and a market capitalization of RMB 31.041 billion [3]. - The company has a significant focus on wind power equipment, which constitutes 94.5% of its product mix, while new energy generation accounts for 4.4% [3]. - The major shareholder is Fuxin Jinyin Energy Consulting Co., Ltd., holding 38.93% of the shares [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from RMB 6.264 billion in 2025 to RMB 9.868 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing significantly during the same period [8][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be RMB 1.872, RMB 2.498, and RMB 3.379 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 26.17, 19.62, and 14.50 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [8].