通信行业2026年上半年投资策略:算力、5G-A建设持续推进,关注硬件端发展机遇
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-26 07:12

Group 1 - The communication sector shows steady growth with a year-on-year increase in profit margins, with total revenue reaching 20,663.80 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 4.23% increase, and net profit of 1,990.01 billion yuan, up 8.78% year-on-year [5][19] - The performance of major cloud service providers (CSPs) continues to improve, with capital expenditures from North America's top four cloud companies reaching approximately 112.47 billion USD in Q3 2025, marking an 18.38% quarter-on-quarter increase, the highest level since 2019 [26][27] - The ongoing rollout of 5G-A networks is expected to create new growth opportunities for various hardware sectors, as 5G-A offers superior performance compared to existing 5G networks, driving new business models and market spaces [5][6] Group 2 - The investment outlook for the communication industry remains positive, with a recommendation to overweight the sector, as the overall operation of the communication industry is stable, and the construction of network infrastructure continues to advance [5][6] - The capital expenditure guidance for computing power is optimistic, with significant investments from major operators in cloud and digitalization, indicating a shift towards increased spending in these areas [29][30] - The demand for optical modules is expected to remain strong, driven by increased capital expenditures and the acceleration of AI applications, with projected growth rates of 93% in the Ethernet optical module market in 2024 [51][52]