机械设备行业2026年上半年投资策略:细分领域分化,关注三大主线
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-26 09:14

Group 1 - The mechanical equipment industry has shown a strong performance with a 55.20% increase from January to October 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 25.03 percentage points, ranking fifth among Shenwan industries [14][6][29] - Revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2025 grew by 6.11% and 14.52% year-on-year, respectively, indicating improved profitability and operational quality [17][29][30] - The industry is benefiting from factors such as product exports, cost control, and optimization of product structure, leading to enhanced profitability [17][29] Group 2 - The engineering machinery sector has experienced significant growth in exports, with a focus on increasing electrification rates. Domestic excavator sales showed a slowdown in October 2025, attributed to preemptive inventory replenishment [34][44][54] - The demand for engineering machinery is expected to be supported by the commencement of major national projects and accelerated funding [34][49] - The global market for electric engineering machinery is projected to grow significantly, with China's electrification rate expected to reach 7.90% by 2024 [69][74] Group 3 - The humanoid robot sector is seeing advancements in industrial applications, particularly in dexterous hand technology, which is crucial for the deployment of humanoid robots in various settings [75][78] - The integration of AI models is enhancing the capabilities of robots, making them more versatile for industrial applications [77][78] - Tesla's Optimus Gen3 is set to launch in Q1 2026, with significant demand for components, indicating a robust growth trajectory for humanoid robotics [79][80] Group 4 - The automation equipment sector is experiencing a mixed recovery, with industrial robots facing intensified competition and a shift towards high-end markets [80][81] - The demand for industrial automation is expected to recover in specific sub-sectors, while overall manufacturing PMI remains below the growth line [80][81] - The machine tool sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in revenue growth, supported by improved downstream demand and policy support [80][81] Group 5 - Investment recommendations for 2026 focus on technology development, cyclical recovery, and export chain layout, with specific companies highlighted for potential investment [6][29][40]