2026年上半年期A股投资策略报告:方兴未艾,逐光而行-20251126
Dongguan Securities·2025-11-26 09:14

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend in 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 4000 points, driven by domestic policies and a rebound in the technology sector [6][15]. - The market is expected to continue its recovery in the first half of 2026, supported by improved economic fundamentals and favorable policies, despite potential short-term volatility [6][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic optimism and suggests investors focus on structural opportunities aligned with policy guidance and performance trends [6][6]. Group 2 - The report outlines three main investment themes for 2026: 1) High dividend assets with low valuations and stable earnings, particularly in sectors like finance, non-ferrous metals, public utilities, and transportation [6]. 2) Technology-driven sectors that align with the "14th Five-Year Plan," focusing on domestic substitution and innovation in areas such as semiconductors and AI [6]. 3) Domestic demand expansion, highlighting sectors like food and beverage, automotive, home appliances, and pharmaceuticals that benefit from strong domestic market strategies [6][6]. Group 3 - The report recommends overweighting sectors such as non-ferrous metals, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), finance, power equipment, food and beverage, and machinery [6][6]. - It suggests a benchmark allocation for sectors like agriculture, automotive, transportation, public utilities, and defense [6][6].