期指:震荡格局延续
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-11-27 01:37

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The shock pattern of stock index futures continues [1] - On November 26, the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures showed mixed gains and losses. IF rose 0.42%, IH rose 0.14%, IC closed flat, and IM fell 0.09% [1] - On this trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures declined, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. The total trading volume and open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM all decreased [1][2] Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - IF Series: The closing prices of IF2512, IF2601, IF2603, and IF2606 were 4493, 4479.6, 4459.8, and 4413 respectively, with increases of 0.42%, 0.46%, 0.35%, and 0.28%. The bases were - 24.63, - 38.03, - 57.83, and - 104.63. The trading volumes were 70583, 3524, 18103, and 5077, with changes of - 7168, + 586, - 3799, and - 1265. The open interests were 155905, 4076, 76078, and 23235, with changes of - 4903, + 1067, - 2017, and + 573 [1] - IH Series: The closing prices of IH2512, IH2601, IH2603, and IH2606 were 2964.6, 2961, 2959.2, and 2951.6 respectively, with increases of 0.14%, 0.18%, 0.14%, and 0.14%. The bases were - 7.2, - 10.8, - 12.6, and - 20.2. The trading volumes were 26457, 1224, 5866, and 1942, with changes of - 6153, + 350, - 2060, and - 514. The open interests were 58010, 1474, 20321, and 6403, with changes of - 1525, + 390, - 1076, and - 63 [1] - IC Series: The closing prices of IC2512, IC2601, IC2603, and IC2606 were 6909.4, 6852, 6745.6, and 6541.6 respectively, with changes of 0.00%, - 0.08%, - 0.03%, and - 0.03%. The bases were - 55.65, - 113.05, - 219.45, and - 423.45. The trading volumes were 74334, 3279, 21621, and 7736, with changes of - 19218, - 1449, - 5607, and - 1473. The open interests were 143910, 5132, 70530, and 29516, with changes of - 8529, + 510, - 1014, and - 10 [1] - IM Series: The closing prices of IM2512, IM2601, IM2603, and IM2606 were 7176.2, 7107.6, 6959, and 6725.8 respectively, with changes of - 0.09%, - 0.05%, - 0.11%, and - 0.20%. The bases were - 72.25, - 140.85, - 289.45, and - 522.65. The trading volumes were 125795, 6676, 30910, and 14169, with changes of - 26962, - 39, - 7315, and - 1326. The open interests were 202891, 9599, 96173, and 52564, with changes of - 8427, + 4977, - 1043, and + 1182 [1] 2. Stock Index Futures Trading Volume and Open Interest Changes - The total trading volume of IF decreased by 11646 lots, IH decreased by 8377 lots, IC decreased by 27747 lots, and IM decreased by 35642 lots. The total open interest of IF decreased by 5280 lots, IH decreased by 2274 lots, IC decreased by 9043 lots, and IM decreased by 6709 lots [2] 3. Stock Index Futures Basis - The report provides the basis trends of IF, IH, IC, and IM from October 31, 2025, to November 26, 2025 [4] 4. Top 20 Member Open Interest Changes in Stock Index Futures - For IF contracts, the long - position changes of different contracts were - 3239 (IF2512), - 1578 (IF2603), 554 (IF2606), and the short - position changes were - 4217 (IF2512), - 1710 (IF2603), 593 (IF2606). The net long - position change was - 4263, and the net short - position change was - 5334 [5] - For IH contracts, the long - position changes of different contracts were - 1367 (IH2512), - 1092 (IH2603), and the short - position changes were - 1621 (IH2512), - 955 (IH2603). The net long - position change was - 2459, and the net short - position change was - 2576 [5] - For IC contracts, the long - position changes of different contracts were - 6960 (IC2512), - 604 (IC2603), 427 (IC2606), and the short - position changes were - 7024 (IC2512), - 827 (IC2603), 178 (IC2606). The net long - position change was - 7137, and the net short - position change was - 7673 [5] - For IM contracts, the long - position changes of different contracts were - 7490 (IM2512), - 370 (IM2603), and the short - position changes were - 7157 (IM2512), - 961 (IM2603). The net long - position change was - 7860, and the net short - position change was - 8118 [5] 5. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - The trend intensities of IF and IH are 1, and those of IC and IM are also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments issued an implementation plan to enhance the supply - demand adaptability of consumer goods and promote consumption, focusing on key industries such as intelligent connected new - energy vehicles, smart homes, and consumer electronics [6] 6. Market News - Vanke experienced a "double - kill" in stocks and bonds. Some of its domestic bonds tumbled during Wednesday's trading, but some rebounded after the suspension. Vanke Enterprise in Hong Kong stocks fell more than 6%, and Vanke A fell about 2.5%. Pufa Bank plans to hold a meeting of holders of "22 Vanke MTN004" on December 10 to discuss bond extension matters [7] - The three major US stock indexes all closed higher, with the Dow up 0.67%, the S&P 500 up 0.69%, and the Nasdaq up 0.82%. US stocks are expected to record large gains this week. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.15%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.02%, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.14%. The A - share market had nearly 3600 stocks falling [8]