绝对收益产品及策略周报(251117-251121):上周23只固收+基金创新高-20251127
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-11-27 05:08

Group 1: Fixed Income + Product Performance Tracking - As of November 21, 2025, the total market size of fixed income + funds reached 21,846.96 billion, with 1,151 products, and 23 products achieved historical net value highs last week [2][20] - The median performance of various fund types for the week of November 17-21, 2025, showed mixed results: mixed bond type I (-0.04%), mixed bond type II (-0.72%), and flexible allocation type (-0.60%) [2][13] - The median returns for conservative, balanced, and aggressive funds were -0.13%, -0.59%, and -0.93%, respectively [2][13] Group 2: Major Asset Allocation and Industry ETF Rotation Strategy Tracking - The macro environment forecast for Q4 2025 indicates inflation, with the Shanghai Composite Index, China Government Bond Total Wealth Index, and AU9999 contract yielding -4.03%, -0.10%, and 0.63% respectively since November [3] - Recommended industry ETFs for November 2025 include semiconductor, securities companies, communication equipment, new energy vehicle batteries, and animation game ETFs, with a weekly return of -5.15% and a cumulative return of -7.92% for the month [3] Group 3: Absolute Return Strategy Performance Tracking - The macro timing-driven stock-bond 20/80 rebalancing strategy yielded -0.38% last week, with a year-to-date return of 4.84% [4] - The small-cap growth style within the stock-bond 20/80 combination showed a notable annual return of 10.57%, while the PB earnings, high dividend, and small-cap value strategies returned 4.35%, 3.81%, and 10.20% respectively [4] - The cumulative return for the small-cap growth combination based on a macro momentum model was 12.70% [4]