良信股份(002706):跟踪点评报告:Q3业绩短期承压,AIDC及海外业务打开长期空间

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][9] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.507 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.23%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 275 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of only 2.23%. In Q3 alone, revenue was 1.173 billion yuan, up 5.22% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to the parent company dropped to 51 million yuan, down 27.09% year-on-year, indicating a significant short-term decline in profitability [1][4] - The decline in gross margin in Q3 was primarily due to changes in sales structure and fluctuations in product prices. The rapid growth of emerging businesses such as smart distribution and DC contactors, along with an increased share of the new energy sector in the main business, has affected the overall gross margin. Additionally, market competition and annual pricing negotiations with customers have impacted product price differences, leading to a decrease in net margin as a result of the decline in gross margin [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve a net profit of 409 million yuan, 526 million yuan, and 663 million yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.9%, 28.7%, and 26.0%. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.36 yuan, 0.47 yuan, and 0.59 yuan for the same years [2][3] - The company’s revenue is forecasted to be 4.696 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10.8%, and is expected to reach 5.770 billion yuan and 7.357 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027, with growth rates of 22.9% and 27.5% respectively [3][8]