Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-11-27 09:20Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints - For alumina, the fundamental situation may be one of excessive supply and temporarily stable demand. It is recommended to conduct light - position oscillatory trading, paying attention to controlling the rhythm and trading risks [2]. - For Shanghai aluminum, the fundamental situation may be that supply is stable while demand is slightly weakening due to the off - season. It is advised to conduct light - position oscillatory trading, paying attention to controlling the rhythm and trading risks [2]. - For cast aluminum alloy, the fundamental situation may be in a stage of convergent supply and slightly reduced demand. It is suggested to conduct light - position oscillatory trading, paying attention to controlling the rhythm and trading risks [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai aluminum main contract was 21,500 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan; the main - second - contract spread was - 75 yuan, unchanged; the main - contract position was 257,138 hands, down 1918 hands. The LME aluminum three - month quotation was 2,864 US dollars/ton, up 63 US dollars; the LME aluminum inventory was 541,725 tons, down 2000 tons; the Shanghai - London ratio was 7.51, down 0.15 [2]. - The closing price of the alumina futures main contract was 2,724 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan; the main - second - contract spread was - 57 yuan, up 17 yuan; the main - contract position was 355,202 hands, down 22013 hands. The LME aluminum cancelled warehouse receipts were 57,625 tons, unchanged [2]. - The closing price of the cast aluminum alloy main contract was 20,680 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan; the main - second - contract spread was - 20 yuan, up 35 yuan; the main - contract position was 5,516 hands, down 1778 hands [2]. Spot Market - The average price of Shanghai Non - ferrous A00 aluminum was 21,460 yuan/ton, up 60 yuan; the average price of Yangtze Non - ferrous A00 aluminum was 21,380 yuan/ton, up 110 yuan. The alumina spot price in Shanghai Non - ferrous was 2,770 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The basis of cast aluminum alloy was 670 yuan, down 40 yuan; the basis of electrolytic aluminum was - 40 yuan, up 15 yuan; the basis of alumina was 46 yuan, down 4 yuan [2]. - The Shanghai Wuma aluminum premium/discount was - 60 yuan, down 30 yuan; the LME aluminum premium/discount was - 29.84 US dollars, up 0.61 US dollars [2]. Upstream Situation - The output of alumina was 786.50 million tons, down 13.40 million tons; the demand for alumina (electrolytic aluminum part) was 730.23 million tons, up 25.92 million tons; the supply - demand balance of alumina was 37.98 million tons, down 8.87 million tons [2]. - The average price of crushed raw aluminum in Foshan metal waste was 16,900 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price in Shandong metal waste was 16,550 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - China's import volume of aluminum waste and scrap was 158,360.01 tons, up 2945.61 tons; the export volume was 32.46 tons, down 36.08 tons [2]. Industry Situation - The import volume of primary aluminum was 248,261.37 tons, up 4462 tons; the export volume was 24,573.56 tons, down 4396.36 tons [2]. - The total production capacity of electrolytic aluminum was 4,523.20 million tons, unchanged; the production capacity utilization rate was 98.24%, down 0.12% [2]. - The output of aluminum products was 569.40 million tons, down 20.60 million tons; the export volume of unforged aluminum and aluminum products was 50.00 million tons, down 2.00 million tons [2]. Downstream and Application - The output of recycled aluminum alloy ingots was 60.83 million tons, down 4.82 million tons; the export volume of aluminum alloy was 3.09 million tons, up 0.74 million tons [2]. - The built - up production capacity of recycled aluminum alloy ingots was 126.00 million tons, unchanged; the national real estate prosperity index was 92.43, down 0.34 [2]. - The output of automobiles was 327.90 million vehicles, up 5.25 million vehicles [2]. Option Situation - The 20 - day historical volatility of Shanghai aluminum was 11.20%, down 0.03%; the 40 - day historical volatility was 10.36%, unchanged [2]. - The implied volatility of the Shanghai aluminum main - contract at - the - money IV was 8.94%, down 0.0008%; the call - put ratio was 1.58, down 0.045 [2]. Industry News - The Fed released the Beige Book, indicating that economic activity was basically flat in most of the 12 Fed districts, with 2 districts reporting a slight decline and 1 district reporting a slight increase. The overall outlook was basically unchanged, and some people pointed out an increased risk of economic slowdown in the next few months [2]. - Six departments jointly issued an implementation plan to enhance the supply - demand compatibility of consumer goods and further promote consumption, aiming to optimize the supply structure of consumer goods by 2027 [2]. - The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week decreased by 6000 to 216,000, the lowest since mid - April, lower than the expected 225,000 [2]. - More car companies are entering the humanoid robot track, as the automotive industry and humanoid robots have similarities in technology and manufacturing [2].