2025年1-10月工业企业盈利数据的背后：工业利润渐进修复，新质生产力表现积极

Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - In the period from January to October 2025, the profit growth of industrial enterprises was 1.9%, down from 3.2% previously, indicating a gradual recovery trend[1] - In October 2025, profits of industrial enterprises decreased by 5.5% year-on-year, influenced by a high base from the previous year and rising financial costs[1] - The average two-year profit growth rate for October was -1.2%, showing a further slowdown compared to previous months[1] Group 2: Price and Demand Dynamics - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in October recorded a year-on-year decline of 2.1%, slightly improved from -2.3% in the previous month, reflecting marginal optimization in market competition[2] - The operating profit margin for industrial enterprises was 5.25% from January to October, a slight increase of 0.01 percentage points year-on-year, but decreased to 5.16% in October compared to 5.42% in September[2] Group 3: New Productive Forces - High-tech manufacturing profits grew by 8.0% year-on-year, outperforming the overall industrial average by 6.1 percentage points[3] - Equipment manufacturing profits increased by 7.8%, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises, with a total profit share of 38.5%[3] Group 4: Traditional Industries Performance - In traditional industries, new productive forces showed positive results, with profits in specific sectors like graphite and carbon products increasing by 77.7% and biochemical pesticides by 73.4%, both significantly above their respective industry averages[4] Group 5: Future Outlook - Industrial profits are expected to gradually recover, with a projected annual growth rate of 3.6% for 2026, supported by steady demand and reduced pressure on industrial growth[7] - The inventory of industrial enterprises increased by 3.7% year-on-year by the end of October 2025, indicating that destocking is not yet complete and further demand strength is needed[8] Group 6: Risk Factors - Insufficient economic recovery momentum could lead to weak industrial demand and pressure on prices, adversely affecting profit recovery[9] - Delays in the implementation of demand-side policies may hinder the expected recovery in industrial profits, particularly if internal growth drivers remain weak[9]