HAERS(SZ:002615) Guoxin Securities·2025-11-27 11:36Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company for the first time [6]. Core Insights - Hars is a leading company in the domestic cup and kettle industry, focusing on both OEM/ODM and proprietary brand businesses, with a projected revenue CAGR of 25% from 2021 to 2024, reaching 3.3 billion yuan, and net profit increasing from 136 million yuan to 287 million yuan by 2024 [1][22]. - The cup and kettle industry is evolving from durable goods to fashionable consumer products, with significant growth potential in both domestic and international markets [1][2]. - The company has established strong partnerships with international brands like YETI and PMI, enhancing its competitive advantage through advanced manufacturing capabilities and a robust customer base [3][54]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Hars, founded in 1996, is a prominent manufacturer of stainless steel vacuum insulated containers, with a comprehensive supply chain from R&D to production [14][22]. - The company operates both OEM/ODM and proprietary brand businesses, with brands including Hars and SIGG targeting different consumer segments [14][70]. Industry Analysis - The global insulated cup market is estimated to exceed 37 billion USD, with North America being a major demand region [33]. - The domestic insulated cup market is projected to surpass 400 billion yuan, indicating substantial growth potential compared to mature markets like Japan and the USA [37][40]. Competitive Advantages - Hars maintains a leading position in R&D and production capabilities, with a focus on digital transformation and smart manufacturing [3][55]. - The company has a solid foundation of long-term partnerships with major international clients, which supports its market expansion [54][65]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 24.07 billion yuan in 2023 to 33.32 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit forecast of 250 million yuan in 2023, declining to 141 million yuan in 2025 due to transitional production impacts [5][22]. - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.30 yuan, with a PE ratio of 27, indicating a reasonable valuation range of 8.77 to 9.94 yuan per share [4][6].