中教控股(00839):剔除减值影响后稳健增长,资本开支回落

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.363 billion yuan for FY2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.9%. The adjusted net profit was approximately 2.049 billion yuan, impacted by a non-cash impairment charge of 1.706 billion yuan related to goodwill and intangible assets [2][3] - The decline in gross margin to 53.3% was attributed to increased educational investment, while the net profit margin showed a smaller decline due to reduced administrative expenses and financing costs [4] - Capital expenditures significantly decreased by 45.2% to 2.66 billion yuan in FY2025, with expectations for continued decline as new educational facilities are completed [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2025 revenue reached 7.363 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11.9%. The adjusted EBITDA was 4.169 billion yuan, and the net profit was 506 million yuan, reflecting a 132.3% increase in attributable net profit [2][3] - The number of full-time students increased by 5% to 282,000, with higher education students growing by 9% to 243,000, while secondary vocational education students decreased by 15.2% to 39,000 [3] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin decreased by 2.1 percentage points to 53.3%, while the net profit margin was 6.9%, showing a slight decline of 0.8 percentage points [4] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a net profit margin improvement due to lower administrative expenses and financing costs [4] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - Capital expenditures for FY2025 were 2.66 billion yuan, down 45.2% from the previous year, with expectations for further reductions as construction projects are completed [4][5] - Adjusted revenue forecasts for FY2026 and FY2027 have been revised down to 7.743 billion yuan and 8.139 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding adjusted net profit estimates of 2.172 billion yuan and 2.337 billion yuan [6]