国信证券晨会纪要-20251128

Group 1: AI Empowerment in Asset Allocation - The report discusses the performance of three representative AI asset management products: AIEQ, ProPicks, and QRFT, evaluating whether AI can provide excess returns to investors [8] - AIEQ, an actively managed ETF, has underperformed SPY due to high market sentiment volatility and cost erosion from high turnover rates [8] - ProPicks has shown strong returns during favorable tech periods but is highly sensitive to execution discipline and slippage, making actual replication challenging [8] - QRFT has closely tracked the S&P 500 over the long term, showing significant phase differentiation, indicating a focus on narrow enhancements rather than stable high alpha [8] Group 2: Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Sector - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market, with a 4.32% decline in the A-share market, and the biopharmaceutical sector fell by 6.88% [10] - The report highlights the treatment options for Hidradenitis Suppurativa (HS), noting that the prevalence in Western populations is approximately 1%, with around 320,000 diagnosed patients in the U.S. [11] - First-line therapies for HS primarily involve antibiotics, while second-line biological treatments include Adalimumab and IL-17A inhibitors, which have gained market share due to their efficacy and safety [11] Group 3: Atour (ATAT.O) Financial Performance - Atour reported a 38% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, raising its full-year revenue growth guidance from 30% to 35% [13] - The company’s retail business saw a remarkable 76% revenue growth, significantly contributing to the overall performance [13] - The number of hotels in operation increased by 27% year-on-year, with a total of 1,948 hotels by the end of Q3 2025 [14] Group 4: Hars (002615.SZ) Industry Leadership - Hars is a leading company in the cup and kettle industry, with a projected revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% from 2021 to 2024, reaching 3.3 billion [17] - The company operates both OEM/ODM and proprietary brand businesses, maintaining stable partnerships with international brands like YETI and PMI [17] - The domestic market for insulated cups is expected to replicate overseas trends, with significant growth potential driven by IP collaborations and social media marketing [18]