纸浆数据日报-20251128

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The pulp market is expected to fluctuate. Recent pulp warehouse receipts have seen cancellations and new registrations [6]. - On the supply side, Chile's Arauco Company's October offer for coniferous pulp Silver Star decreased by $20/ton to $680/ton, while the offer for hardwood pulp Star remained flat at $540/ton, and the offer for natural pulp Venus remained unchanged at $590/ton [6]. - On the demand side, recent pulp - using paper products have issued price - increase letters. Only the price increase of white cardboard has been well - implemented, and double - offset paper has issued new price - increase letters, with the implementation to be monitored [6]. - On the inventory side, as of November 27, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 217.2 tons, a decrease of 0.1 tons from the previous period, a 0.05% month - on - month decrease, showing a slight de - stocking trend [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Pulp Price Data - Futures Prices: On November 27, 2025, SP2601 was 5184 yuan/ton, down 0.46% day - on - day and 2.15% week - on - week; SP2512 was 4670 yuan/ton, down 0.98% day - on - day and 3.87% week - on - week; SP2605 was 5234 yuan/ton, down 0.49% day - on - day and 1.99% week - on - week [6]. - Spot Prices: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5400 yuan/ton, unchanged day - on - day and down 1.82% week - on - week; coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5170 yuan/ton, unchanged day - on - day and down 3.36% week - on - week; hardwood pulp Goldfish was 4400 yuan/ton, unchanged both day - on - day and week - on - week [6]. - Outer - Market Quotes: Chilean Silver Star was $680/ton, down 2.86% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was $530/ton, up 3.92% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was $590/ton, unchanged month - on - month [6]. - Import Costs: Chilean Silver Star was 5721 yuan/ton, down 2.83% month - on - month; Brazilian Goldfish was 4344 yuan/ton, up 3.87% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 4830 yuan/ton, unchanged month - on - month [6]. Pulp Fundamental Data - Supply: In October 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 69.1 tons, unchanged from September; the import volume of hardwood pulp was 131.8 tons, down from 135.6 tons in September. The domestic production of hardwood pulp and chemimechanical pulp fluctuated slightly in different periods. The pulp port inventory on November 27, 2025, was 217.2 tons, down 0.1 tons from the previous period [6]. - Demand: The production of double - offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard also fluctuated in different periods. For example, the production of double - offset paper on November 27, 2025, was 20.80 tons [6]. - Inventory: As of November 27, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 217.2 tons, down 0.1 tons from the previous period, a 0.05% decrease. The futures delivery warehouse inventory was 21.1 tons [6]. Pulp Valuation Data - Basis: On November 27, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 500, with a quantile level of 0.952; the Silver Star basis was 730, with a quantile level of 0.926 [6]. - Import Profit: On November 27, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was - 159, with a quantile level of 0.378; the import profit of hardwood pulp Goldfish was 56, with a quantile level of 0.705 [6].