热轧卷板周度数据(20251128)-20251128
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2025-11-28 03:13

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2) Core View of the Report - The supply - demand pattern of hot - rolled coils is running weakly, with limited inventory reduction. The production of plate mills is stabilizing, but the supply is climbing to a high level and the inventory pressure is still large. Demand has weakened, and the fundamentals are weak, causing the coil price to continue to be under pressure. However, there is support from low valuation and cost, and it is expected to continue the trend of bottom - seeking in shock. Attention should be paid to the production situation of steel mills [1] 3) Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Supply - Hot - rolled coil weekly production is 319.01 tons, a week - on - week increase of 3.00 tons, and a decrease of 4.55 tons compared with the end of last month. The production is at a high level and climbing. The blast furnace capacity utilization rate is 87.98%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.60 percentage points and a decrease of 0.63 percentage points compared with the end of last month, but an increase of 0.18 percentage points compared with the same period [1] Demand - The weekly apparent demand for hot - rolled coils is 320.22 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 4.20 tons and a decrease of 11.67 tons compared with the end of last month, but an increase of 4.62 tons compared with the same period. The demand of the downstream cold - rolling industry has unsolved contradictions, and the improvement of external demand is limited, so the demand toughness is likely to weaken [1] Inventory - The total inventory of hot - rolled coils is 400.90 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.21 tons and a decrease of 5.69 tons compared with the end of last month, but an increase of 95.18 tons compared with the same period. The in - plant inventory is 78.02 tons, unchanged from last week, an increase of 0.36 tons compared with the end of last month, and a decrease of 0.37 tons compared with the same period. The social inventory is 322.88 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.21 tons, a decrease of 6.05 tons compared with the end of last month, and an increase of 95.55 tons compared with the same period [1]