Youcare Pharmaceutical (SH:688658) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-11-28 07:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has increased its R&D investment, and its innovative pipeline is gradually entering a harvest period. The FDA has approved the clinical trial for the YKYY018 aerosol inhalation agent for the prevention and treatment of RSV infections. Despite facing pressure on its operating performance in 2025, the company is optimistic about its long-term growth potential due to its innovative layout and small nucleic acid technology platform [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41.20%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -148 million yuan, down 170.56% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit attributable to the parent company was -168 million yuan, a decrease of 182.95% year-on-year [3][4] - The company has adjusted the price of its "Ginkgo Leaf Extract Injection" at the end of 2024, which has impacted its performance. The R&D expenses have increased significantly, contributing to the net profit decline [3][4] - The sales expense ratio for the first three quarters of 2025 was 28.64%, down 7.37 percentage points; the management expense ratio was 10.67%, up 5.18 percentage points; the R&D expense ratio was 18.00%, up 9.27 percentage points; and the financial expense ratio was 0.59%, up 0.47 percentage points [3][4] Earnings Forecast - The revised earnings forecast for the company indicates net profits attributable to the parent company of -183 million yuan, -53 million yuan, and 69 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The original forecasts were 51 million yuan, 206 million yuan, and 561 million yuan [3][4] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is -0.41 yuan, -0.12 yuan, and 0.15 yuan respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of -60.6, -208.5, and 161.2 times [3][4] Innovative Pipeline Progress - The company is advancing its innovative drug pipeline, with key traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) drugs in the final review stage for NDA. The small nucleic acid innovative drugs YKYY015 and YKYY029 have received approval for clinical trials in the US and China, with ongoing Phase I trials domestically [4] - The RSV mRNA vaccine YKYY025 and VZV mRNA vaccine YKYY026 have also received approval for clinical trials in the US. The company has completed the Phase IIa clinical trial for its first domestic antisense nucleic acid drug for primary liver cancer [4]