Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [31]. Core Insights - As of November 27, the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has decreased by 7.3% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.3 percentage points, ranking 30th among 31 Shenwan industries. Year-to-date, the index has increased by 26.0%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 11.2 percentage points, ranking 8th among 31 industries [5][13]. - All sub-sectors of the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index experienced declines in the past two weeks, with the non-metallic materials sector down 12.0%, chemical fiber down 9.3%, and chemical raw materials down 8.4% [16]. - Among the 404 listed companies in the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index, 46 saw their stock prices rise, with Huaron Chemical, Guofeng New Materials, and Xinjin Road leading with increases of 30.4%, 29.1%, and 25.8%, respectively. Conversely, 358 companies experienced declines, with Jiaao Environmental Protection, Taihe Technology, and Annada showing significant drops of -29.2%, -28.5%, and -26.9% [18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 26.0%, with significant performance variations across sub-sectors [5][13]. - The non-metallic materials sector has been the worst performer recently, while the plastic sector has shown the highest year-to-date growth of 51.3% [16]. Chemical Product Price Trends - Recent price increases were noted in several chemical products, including caprolactam (+5.49%) and synthetic ammonia (+3.32%), indicating a general upward trend in the market [23][24]. Key Industry News - DuPont announced the groundbreaking of a new production base for MOLYKOTE® special lubricants in Jiangsu, expected to commence operations in early 2027 [27]. - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between BASF and Sinopec to promote the large-scale application of biogas in Nanjing [27]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights that from January to October, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 59,502.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector seeing a profit decline of 5.4% [28]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like Sanmei Co., Ltd. and Juhua Co., Ltd. due to their significant profit growth driven by rising refrigerant prices [28][29].
基础化工行业双周报(2025、11、14-2025、11、27):1-10月份规模以上工业企业利润总额同比增长1.9%-20251128