Soochow Securities·2025-11-29 15:32Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The current port coal price inventory is at a high level, with downstream heating demand having been released early. Coupled with the pressure from renewable energy sources, coal prices are expected to maintain a fluctuating trend [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of insurance capital inflow, with premium income showing positive growth concentrated towards leading insurance companies. The ongoing scarcity of fixed-income assets and high dividend assets suggests a shift towards equity allocation, particularly favoring resource stocks [3][36] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - During the week of November 24 to November 28, the port thermal coal spot price decreased by 18 CNY/ton, closing at 816 CNY/ton. The average daily inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim was 2.056 million tons, an increase of 0.97 million tons or 0.47% from the previous week. The supply from production areas remained stable, with an increase in port supply [1][11] - The average daily outflow from the four ports in the Bohai Rim was 1.99 million tons, an increase of 210,000 tons or 11.9% from the previous week. The total inventory at the ports rose to 26.611 million tons, an increase of 680,000 tons or 2.61% [1][28][32] Price Trends - The price of thermal coal at production sites showed mixed trends: as of November 28, the price for 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong decreased by 46 CNY/ton to 654 CNY/ton, while the price for 6000 kcal thermal block coal in Yanzhou increased by 20 CNY/ton to 1150 CNY/ton [17] - The Bohai Rim thermal coal price index remained stable at 698 CNY/ton, while the Qinhuangdao port price index also held steady at 710 CNY/ton [20] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on elastic thermal coal stocks, particularly those with low valuations, such as Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy [3][36]