Guotou Securities·2025-11-30 10:35Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market - A" [5] Core Views - The report highlights that sulfur prices and overseas refined oil crack spreads are expected to return to an upward trend, driven by geopolitical tensions affecting Russian refining capacity and subsequent supply constraints [2][3] - The report emphasizes the potential for improved refining profitability due to global refining capacity adjustments and the impact of rising carbon costs [3][19] - The report suggests that the demand for sulfur will increase significantly due to the growth in lithium iron phosphate production for electric vehicles, with a projected supply-demand gap in 2026 [10][19] Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights of the Week - Recent geopolitical events have led to a significant increase in overseas refined oil crack spreads, with the NYMEX 3:2:1 crack spread reaching $24.61 per barrel, a decrease of 6.2% from the previous week [2] - The sulfur price at Zhenjiang Port was reported at 3960 RMB/ton, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 153.85% [2] 2. Industry Performance - The basic chemical industry index increased by 3.0% over the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.6 percentage points [23] - Year-to-date, the basic chemical industry index has risen by 27.6%, again outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [23] 3. Individual Stock Performance - Among 424 stocks in the basic chemical sector, 343 stocks rose, with notable gainers including Xinjin Road (+41.0%) and Daoming Optics (+30.3%) [31] 4. Key News and Company Announcements - Huakang Co. announced the termination of its asset acquisition plan, while Jilin Carbon Valley appointed a new general manager [33]