本周轻稀土链价格延续回升,中重稀土价格仍疲软:稀土磁材行业周报-20251130
Xiangcai Securities·2025-11-30 12:31

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [3][41] Core Insights - The rare earth magnetic materials industry has rebounded by 2.6% this week, outperforming the benchmark (CSI 300) by 0.96 percentage points. The industry valuation (TTM P/E) has increased by 1.85 times to 71.79, currently at 85.5% of its historical percentile [5][12] - The supply side of the rare earth segment is generally tight, with some separation enterprises experiencing reduced operating rates due to maintenance or raw material issues, leading to a tight supply of oxides. The demand side shows stable domestic orders and a gradual recovery in overseas market demand, indicating a steady increase in downstream demand [40][41] - The report suggests that the price and prosperity of the industry are expected to continue to rise, supported by tightening supply expectations and improving export demand following the easing of export controls [10][41] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the industry has shown a relative return of -8% over one month, -18% over three months, and a positive 50% over twelve months. Absolute returns are -11%, -17%, and 67% respectively [4] - The rare earth concentrate prices have generally rebounded, with domestic mixed rare earth carbonate prices rising by 2.78% to 37,000 CNY/ton, and imported monazite prices increasing by 4.95% to 53,000 CNY/ton [9][14] Price Trends - The price of praseodymium and neodymium has continued to rise, with praseodymium oxide averaging 567,000 CNY/ton (up 3.28%) and neodymium metal averaging 688,000 CNY/ton (up 2.69%) [16][17] - Dysprosium prices have continued to decline, with dysprosium oxide averaging 1,475 CNY/kg (down 0.67%) and dysprosium metal averaging 1,430 CNY/kg (down 1.72%) [20] - The price of neodymium-iron-boron blanks has stabilized before rising, with N35 averaging 142.5 CNY/kg (up 3.64%) and H35 averaging 212.5 CNY/kg (up 2.41%) [36] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, emphasizing the potential benefits for upstream rare earth resource companies due to tightening supply expectations and strategic value positioning. It also highlights the recovery of profitability and valuation premiums for downstream magnetic material companies, particularly those with strong customer structures and growth potential, such as Jinli Permanent Magnet [10][42]

本周轻稀土链价格延续回升,中重稀土价格仍疲软:稀土磁材行业周报-20251130 - Reportify