海鸥股份(603269):公司事件点评报告:冷却塔细分龙头,数据中心带来新增量

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has shown a revenue growth of 10.68% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit increase of 25.10% [2][3]. - The cooling tower segment is positioned as a leader in the market, with significant growth potential driven by data center demand and domestic replacement opportunities [4][7]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, which has already seen over 1,000 projects in more than 70 countries, enhancing its profitability and global market share [7]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.219 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 27.44%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.56 percentage points [3]. - The net profit margin for the same period was 4.38%, up by 0.68 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company holds a backlog of orders totaling 3.376 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025, representing a 2.93% increase from the previous year [3]. Market Opportunities - The domestic cooling tower market for data centers is projected to reach 66 billion USD (approximately 459 billion yuan) by 2030, indicating substantial growth potential [4]. - The company is focusing on high-margin overseas projects, which are expected to further enhance profitability [7]. Shareholder Confidence - The company has initiated a share buyback plan, allocating 60 to 120 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans, reflecting confidence in future performance [8]. - The targets set for revenue and net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 are ambitious, with expected revenues of 1.839 billion, 2.111 billion, and 2.430 billion yuan, and net profits of 110 million, 127 million, and 146 million yuan respectively [8]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.793 billion, 2.073 billion, and 2.393 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.36, 0.48, and 0.62 yuan [9][11].