Group 1: Global Market Trends - The S&P 500 index rose by 3.73%, while developed market stock indices increased by 3.41% during the week of November 24-28, 2025[7] - Commodities saw a general increase, with COMEX copper up by 5.64% and London gold rising by 3.80%[7] - The US dollar index fell by 0.71%, and the Chinese yuan appreciated by 0.44% against the dollar[7] Group 2: US Economic Indicators - Manufacturing new orders (excluding aircraft) grew by 4.02% year-on-year in September, indicating continued growth[8] - The US retail and food service sales increased by 4.26% year-on-year in September, but the growth rate has slowed compared to previous months[12] - The US housing price index fell to 338.25 in September, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.36%, down from 1.57% in August[8] Group 3: Monetary Policy Expectations - The expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has surged to 80%[20] - European Central Bank President Lagarde stated that current interest rates are appropriately set, with no immediate need for adjustment[21] - The Bank of Japan's December rate hike expectations have not increased, with a cautious stance from its committee members[25]
海外经济政策跟踪：美联储降息预期再度升温
Haitong Securities International·2025-12-01 05:50