2026年出海展望:扬帆出海,2026关注哪些方向?
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-01 09:12

Overall Trends - The growth of overseas revenue for A-share listed companies (excluding financials and "three barrels of oil") is expected to continue, with a projected increase of 10.1% in 2024, significantly outpacing the overall revenue growth of -0.8% [2][6] - The contribution of overseas revenue to overall profits is increasing, with the gross profit margin from overseas operations rising from 23.6% in 2021 to 29.5% in 2024, indicating a shift from scale expansion to optimizing profit structures [2][6] Engineering Machinery - Global demand is showing structural differentiation, with high demand for infrastructure and mining in Africa and Latin America, while the demand in Europe and the US remains stable. Companies with competitive products in overseas mining scenarios are recommended [2][17] Power Equipment - Focus on three high-growth segments: offshore wind components benefiting from European recovery, SST solutions for global AI computing upgrades, and energy storage systems addressing North American grid bottlenecks [2][20] Automotive - The automotive industry is shifting from vehicle exports to localized production overseas, with Southeast Asia becoming a key hub. Companies like BYD and Geely are accelerating their global presence through local manufacturing [2][21][22] Home Appliances - Leading companies are leveraging their global brand matrix and localized supply chains to establish strong barriers. In segments like robotic vacuums, domestic brands are competing directly with international brands through continuous innovation [2][23] Light Industry Manufacturing - The industry is transitioning from manufacturing efficiency to localized operations overseas. Leading companies are relocating production to avoid trade risks and are moving from OEM models to higher-margin proprietary brands [2][25] Basic Chemicals - Companies are engaging in both passive and active overseas expansion. Those with overseas production bases can ensure export channels, while active expansion aims to secure resources and broaden customer bases [2][26] Non-ferrous Metals - Domestic leading mining companies have been acquiring and operating key metal resources globally, which will contribute significantly to production and profit during industry upturns [2][29] Building Materials - Rapid urbanization and industrialization in emerging markets like Central Asia and Southeast Asia are creating substantial local demand for building materials, with local supply gaps presenting opportunities for Chinese companies [2][31] Textiles and Apparel - Chinese manufacturers are forming deep supply chain partnerships with global brands, and leading textile companies are expanding overseas to meet local procurement demands [2][33] Pharmaceuticals - The overseas commercialization of innovative drugs is entering a realization phase, with several products gaining approval in the US and significant sales growth reported [2][35] Computers - China's embedded software has a global comparative advantage, and companies successfully entering overseas markets can benefit from higher software pricing and a more favorable position in the global value chain [2][37]

2026年出海展望:扬帆出海,2026关注哪些方向? - Reportify