Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-12-01 09:09Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The freight rate market is currently highly influenced by news, and the futures price is expected to experience increased volatility. Investors are advised to exercise caution, pay attention to the operation rhythm, and control risks. They should also track geopolitical, shipping capacity, and cargo volume data in a timely manner [2]. - The improvement in the trade - war situation, a substantial turning point in the geopolitical conflict towards easing, and the arrival of the shipping peak season in the fourth quarter all have certain impacts on the market [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - EC2602, the main contract of the container shipping index (European line) futures, closed up 3.02%, and the far - month contracts closed up between 1 - 2%. The shipping companies' price increase announcements for late December drove up the futures price of the container shipping index (European line) [2]. - The EC2602 - EC2604 spread increased by 14.80, while the EC2602 - EC2606 spread decreased by 1.20. The EC contract basis decreased by 176.32. The main contract's open interest decreased by 129 lots to 18,614 lots [2]. Spot Market - The latest SCFIS European line settlement freight rate index was 1,483.65, down 155.72 points from last week, with a month - on - month increase of 9.5%. The SCFI (composite index) increased by 9.57, and the container ship capacity increased by 0.04 to 1,403.13 (in ten thousand TEUs) [2]. - The CCFI (composite index) decreased by 0.99, while the CCFI (European line) increased by 16.38 to 1,121.80. The Baltic Dry Index decreased by 80, and the Panamax freight index increased by 10. The average charter price of Panamax ships remained unchanged at 17,695, and that of Capesize ships increased by 2,970 to 34,595 [2]. - Maersk's 50 - week opening offer for 40 - foot containers was $2,100 - $2,200, down $300 from the previous week, which led other shipping alliances to follow suit and reduce freight rates, causing a significant decline in the futures price [2]. Industry News - The National Development and Reform Commission held a symposium for private enterprises to discuss high - quality service development during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period [2]. - After the new round of US - Ukraine negotiations, US Secretary of State Rubio said the talks were "productive," and the US will strengthen diplomatic efforts in the next week. The US Middle East envoy is expected to visit Moscow [2]. - The European Space Agency's Council Ministerial Meeting in Bremen, Germany, approved a budget of approximately 22.1 billion euros for the next three years (2026 - 2028), aiming to maintain Europe's leading position in space exploration [2]. Fundamental Factors - In November, China's manufacturing PMI data showed a slight recovery, in line with seasonal patterns. The new export order index rose to 47.9, indicating a pre - Christmas recovery in terminal transportation demand [2]. - The Russia - Ukraine conflict has entered its fourth year, with both sides in a "positional and attritional war." Western aid to Ukraine has decreased, and the conflict remains deadlocked [2]. - Germany's better - than - expected economic performance has boosted market confidence and stimulated the economic recovery of the eurozone. If the German new government's proposed fiscal expansion policy has more specific details, it will enhance investors' confidence in the eurozone's medium - term growth [2].