AI浪潮开启智造新周期:机械行业2026年度投资策略
Huachuang Securities·2025-12-01 10:47

Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the AI wave is initiating a new cycle in intelligent manufacturing, shifting the investment focus from cyclical fluctuations to "new hard-core" assets that can define the future and support the AI trend [8][9]. - Human-shaped robots are highlighted as the ultimate embodiment of AI intelligence, expected to revolutionize labor liberation and serve as a universal platform for AI interaction with the physical world [9][10]. - The report identifies solid-state batteries as a key technology that will unlock performance ceilings for human-shaped robots and electric vehicles due to their high energy density and safety [9][10]. Group 2: Human-Shaped Robots - The human-shaped robot industry is transitioning from concept validation to commercialization, with companies that have developed product capabilities in key components likely to experience significant valuation increases [13][17]. - The investment strategy focuses on essential hardware components rather than single manufacturers due to the uncertainty in design solutions, creating unique investment opportunities [25][28]. - Key companies to watch in this sector include Xinjie Electric, Huichuan Technology, and Weichuang Electric, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in human-shaped robots [17][30]. Group 3: AI Equipment and Materials - The demand for AI-related infrastructure is surging, leading to significant growth in high-performance servers, GPUs, and advanced PCB requirements [32][36]. - The PCB specialized equipment market is expected to grow from $3.306 billion in 2020 to $4.111 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.60% in China [32][34]. - Key players in the equipment sector include Dazhu CNC and Chip Quik, which are well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for advanced PCB manufacturing [36][40]. Group 4: Solid-State Batteries - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with major manufacturers like CATL and Zhongxin Innovation targeting 2027 for small-scale production [9][10]. - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach ¥107.94 billion by 2030, indicating a significant capital expenditure cycle ahead [9][10]. - Companies such as Lead Intelligent and Hai Moxing are recommended for their potential to benefit from this new capital expenditure cycle [9][10]. Group 5: Controlled Nuclear Fusion - Controlled nuclear fusion is transitioning from experimental phases to industrialization, with significant advancements in research and increased capital investment driving the industry forward [9][10]. - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in nuclear fusion projects, such as Hangyang Co. and Shanghai Electric, which are positioned to gain from this emerging sector [9][10]. - The demand for energy solutions is expected to grow, making nuclear fusion a critical area for investment as it promises to provide sustainable energy sources [9][10]. Group 6: Engineering Machinery - The domestic engineering machinery market is recovering, with excavator sales showing a positive trend, while overseas demand is also increasing due to factors like housing construction and manufacturing sector recovery [6][9]. - Major projects in China, such as the Yaxi Water Conservancy Project and the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway, are expected to boost domestic machinery demand [6][9]. - Key companies in this sector include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion, which are anticipated to benefit from both domestic recovery and international expansion [6][9].