Guohai Securities·2025-12-01 11:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive sector [2] Core Insights - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during the week of November 24 to November 28, 2025, with a sector index increase of 3.2% compared to the index's 1.4% rise [5][16] - The report highlights the submission of an IPO application by Avita Technology to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in its global strategy [12][30] - The report notes that the new energy vehicle sales reached 177.2 million units in October 2025, accounting for 51.6% of total new vehicle sales [34] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The automotive sector index increased by 3.2% from November 24 to November 28, 2025, with passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, parts, and services showing respective increases of 2.6%, 2.0%, 3.7%, and 3.9% [5][16] - The report indicates that major players like Li Auto, Xpeng, NIO, and Geely saw stock price increases of 4.8%, 6.9%, 1.3%, 12.2%, and 1.4% respectively during the same period [5][16] Company Performance - NIO reported a revenue of 21.79 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.7%, while its net loss narrowed to 3.48 billion yuan [13][31] - Xpeng's Q3 revenue reached 20.38 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 101.8% [13][31] - Li Auto experienced a decline in deliveries by 39.0% year-on-year, with a revenue drop of 36.2% to 27.365 billion yuan, resulting in a net loss of 624 million yuan [13][31] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a potential decline in passenger vehicle year-on-year growth by the end of 2025 due to high base effects and the temporary withdrawal of certain subsidies [15] - It suggests that the high-end passenger vehicle market may perform better in 2026, particularly for domestic brands with offerings above 300,000 yuan [15] - Recommendations include companies like JAC Motors, Geely, Xpeng, Great Wall Motors, SAIC Motor, Li Auto, Seres, and BYD for passenger vehicles [15] Key Recommendations - For automotive parts, the report recommends companies benefiting from the penetration of high-level intelligence into lower-priced models, including Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Kobot [15][6] - In the commercial vehicle sector, it suggests companies like Weichai Power, Foton Motor, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group as beneficiaries of the recovering demand for heavy trucks [15][6]