早间看点：印尼12月毛棕榈油参考价926.14美元／吨，USDA美豆当周出口合计净增110.80万吨-20251201

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The report presents a comprehensive overview of the agricultural and commodity markets, covering overnight and现货行情, important fundamental information, macro - economic news, fund flows, and arbitrage tracking. It shows the complex interplay of factors such as weather conditions, international and domestic supply - demand dynamics, and macro - economic policies affecting the prices and trading volumes of various agricultural products and commodities [1][2][5] Summary by Directory Overnight Quotes - The closing prices and percentage changes of various commodities such as Malaysian palm oil, Brent crude oil, US crude oil, US soybeans, US soybean meal, and US soybean oil are provided. Also, the latest prices and percentage changes of several currency exchange rates are given [1] Spot Quotes - Spot prices, basis, and basis changes of DCE palm oil, DCE soybean oil, and DCE soybean meal in different regions are presented. Import soybean quotes including CNF premiums and CNF prices from different origins are also provided [2] Important Fundamental Information Production Area Weather - In Brazil, the soil moisture decline in the south is expected to slow, and early December rainfall is likely to be below normal. In Argentina, the soybean - growing areas will turn dry after a front passed last weekend, and soil moisture decline will also slow due to lack of high - temperature weather [5] International Supply and Demand - Malaysia's palm oil exports in November are expected to decline by 19.7%. Indonesia will lower the reference price of crude palm oil in December, reducing the export tariff. Some Indonesian suppliers are delaying palm oil shipments to December. US soybean, soybean meal, and soybean oil export sales data show different trends. The use of US soybean oil for biofuel production increased in September. Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production is expected to reach a record high, but the overall yield potential in most areas may be lower than the previous year. The soybean planting progress in different regions of Brazil and Argentina is reported, along with the production forecasts of EU and Canada for various oilseeds. The Baltic Dry Bulk Freight Index reached a two - year high [7][8][11] Domestic Supply and Demand - On November 28, the trading volume of domestic edible oils increased, while the trading volume of soybean meal decreased. The actual soybean crushing volume of domestic oil mills in the 48th week was lower than expected, and the expected crushing volume in the 49th week will decline slightly. The pig - raising profit is in a loss state. The "Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index" and the "Vegetable Basket Product Wholesale Price Index" rose on November 28, and the prices of some agricultural products changed [17][18] Macro News International News - Foreign central banks increased their holdings of US Treasury bonds in the week ending November 26. Eurozone consumers slightly raised their short - term inflation expectations but kept long - term inflation expectations unchanged [21] Domestic News - On November 28, the US dollar/Chinese yuan exchange rate was adjusted upwards. The Chinese central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations and achieved a net withdrawal of funds. The manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month [22] Fund Flows - On November 28, 2025, the futures market had a net inflow of 2.755 billion yuan. Commodity futures had a net inflow of 6.287 billion yuan, while stock index futures and treasury bond futures had net outflows [25] Arbitrage Tracking - Not provided in the report content